tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:02 JFK → 09:18 PHX
    AA 2369 · American · 5h 16m · 88% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 12:04 SJC
    AA 3940 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 02mJFK 07:02 to SJC 12:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.