tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → St Louis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:53 RDU → 19:08 DFW
    AA 2371 · American · 3h 15m · 61% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 DFW → 21:48 STL
    AA 1010 · American · 1h 51m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 53mRDU 16:53 to STL 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.