tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Charlotte via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:47 MIA → 19:06 RDU
    AA 2375 · American · 2h 19m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 RDU → 21:24 CLT
    AA 2394 · American · 1h 12m · 56% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 33mMIA 16:47 to CLT 21:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.