tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Midland via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:23 LAS → 20:24 DFW
    AA 2376 · American · 3h 01m · 66% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DFW → 22:53 MAF
    AA 4116 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 18m · 72% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Midland is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 30mLAS 15:23 to MAF 22:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.