tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Chicago via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 23%

  1. 16:33 CLT → 17:36 RDU
    AA 2379 · American · 1h 03m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:24 RDU → 20:07 ORD
    AA 3696 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 43m · 57% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 34mCLT 16:33 to ORD 20:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.