tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Houston via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:29 RDU → 19:45 CLT
    AA 2379 · American · 1h 16m · 58% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 CLT → 22:27 IAH
    AA 1840 · American · 2h 42m · 71% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 58mRDU 18:29 to IAH 22:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.