tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 16%

  1. 18:26 MCO → 20:30 DFW
    AA 2385 · American · 3h 04m · 30% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 DFW → 22:06 PHX
    AA 3239 · American · 2h 38m · 61% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 41mMCO 18:26 to PHX 22:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.