tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Detroit via Washington: arrives on time 25%

  1. 18:22 CLT → 20:00 DCA
    AA 2386 · American · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DCA → 22:44 DTW
    AA 5597 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 51% on time, 9.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (9.3% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 21mCLT 18:22 to DTW 22:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.