tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 33%

  1. 20:08 RDU → 21:24 CLT
    AA 2394 · American · 1h 12m · 56% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 CLT → 23:53 DCA
    AA 1269 · American · 1h 26m · 64% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip3h 46mRDU 20:08 to DCA 23:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.