tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 20:08 RDU → 21:24 CLT
    AA 2394 · American · 1h 12m · 56% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:46 MIA +1 day
    AA 1596 · American · 2h 07m · 60% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 38mRDU 20:08 to MIA 00:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.