tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Bangor via Washington: arrives on time 46%

  1. 09:42 ORD → 12:44 DCA
    AA 2398 · American · 2h 02m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:44 DCA → 15:44 BGR
    AA 5505 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 70% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bangor is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 02mORD 09:42 to BGR 15:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.