tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:15 RDU → 17:34 CLT
    AA 2402 · American · 1h 19m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 CLT → 20:30 EWR
    AA 1071 · American · 2h 09m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 15mRDU 16:15 to EWR 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.