tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:15 RDU → 17:34 CLT
    AA 2402 · American · 1h 19m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 CLT → 21:00 MCO
    AA 1783 · American · 1h 55m · 46% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip4h 45mRDU 16:15 to MCO 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.