tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:15 RDU → 17:34 CLT
    AA 2402 · American · 1h 19m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:22 CLT → 20:00 DCA
    AA 2386 · American · 1h 38m · 58% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip3h 45mRDU 16:15 to DCA 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.