tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Salt Lake City via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:15 RDU → 17:34 CLT
    AA 2402 · American · 1h 19m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:44 CLT → 21:16 SLC
    AA 2611 · American · 4h 28m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 57mRDU 16:15 to SLC 21:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.