tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Detroit via Charlotte: arrives on time 62%

  1. 16:15 RDU → 17:34 CLT
    AA 2402 · American · 1h 19m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:46 CLT → 22:34 DTW
    AA 419 · American · 1h 48m · 67% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 19mRDU 16:15 to DTW 22:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.