tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Reno via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:49 MSP → 20:20 DFW
    AA 2406 · American · 2h 33m · 64% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 DFW → 23:58 RNO
    AA 1273 · American · 3h 26m · 65% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 09mMSP 17:49 to RNO 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.