tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Austin via Miami: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:30 RDU → 19:49 MIA
    AA 2406 · American · 2h 19m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 MIA → 23:59 AUS
    AA 1427 · American · 2h 49m · 60% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 29mRDU 17:30 to AUS 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.