tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Indianapolis via Miami: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:30 RDU → 19:49 MIA
    AA 2406 · American · 2h 19m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 MIA → 23:50 IND
    AA 2518 · American · 2h 51m · 69% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 20mRDU 17:30 to IND 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.