Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Raleigh/Durham → Minneapolis via Miami: arrives on time 42%
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17:30 RDU → 19:49 MIAAA 2406 · American · 2h 19m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 33m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:22 MIA → 00:09 MSP +1 dayAA 458 · American · 3h 47m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 39mRDU 17:30 to MSP 00:09, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.