tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 21%

  1. 15:57 DFW → 19:45 CLT
    AA 2407 · American · 2h 48m · 35% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 CLT → 22:20 DCA
    AA 527 · American · 1h 31m · 57% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 23mDFW 15:57 to DCA 22:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.