tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Louisville via Charlotte: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:57 DFW → 19:45 CLT
    AA 2407 · American · 2h 48m · 35% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:03 CLT → 22:39 SDF
    AA 5161 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 42mDFW 15:57 to SDF 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.