tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 18%

  1. 15:57 DFW → 19:45 CLT
    AA 2407 · American · 2h 48m · 35% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 CLT → 21:58 TYS
    AA 5909 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 21m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 59mDFW 15:57 to TYS 21:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.