tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 18:00 CLT → 20:00 DFW
    AA 2409 · American · 3h 00m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DFW → 22:33 SMF
    AA 3314 · American · 3h 34m · 59% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 33mCLT 18:00 to SMF 22:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.