tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 37%

  1. 20:13 RIC → 21:41 CLT
    AA 2412 · American · 1h 28m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 00:17 PHL +1 day
    AA 2189 · American · 1h 48m · 74% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 04mRIC 20:13 to PHL 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.