tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Atlanta via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 20:13 RIC → 21:41 CLT
    AA 2412 · American · 1h 28m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:36 CLT → 23:58 ATL
    AA 5498 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 22m · 70% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 45mRIC 20:13 to ATL 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.