tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → New York via Richmond: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:10 CLT → 08:21 RIC
    AA 2415 · American · 1h 11m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:41 RIC → 13:09 JFK
    DL 5316 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 28m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 59mCLT 07:10 to JFK 13:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.