tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:50 RNO → 14:34 PHX
    AA 2418 · American · 1h 44m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:24 PHX → 18:16 DEN
    AA 1638 · American · 1h 52m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 26mRNO 12:50 to DEN 18:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.