tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:41 RDU → 07:49 CLT
    AA 2420 · American · 1h 07m · 88% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:01 CLT → 11:55 JFK
    DL 5052 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 58m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 18mRDU 06:41 to JFK 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.