tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:48 DSM → 18:59 DFW
    AA 2421 · American · 2h 11m · 46% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 DFW → 21:47 LAS
    AA 1797 · American · 2h 51m · 55% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 57mDSM 16:48 to LAS 21:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.