tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:48 DSM → 18:59 DFW
    AA 2421 · American · 2h 11m · 46% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DFW → 23:28 PHX
    AA 2319 · American · 2h 31m · 37% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip8h 42mDSM 16:48 to PHX 23:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.