tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 18:55 ROC → 21:00 CLT
    AA 2424 · American · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:51 CLT → 23:45 LGA
    AA 2031 · American · 1h 53m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 49mROC 18:55 to LGA 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.