tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 48%

  1. 11:43 STT → 15:49 CLT
    AA 2431 · American · 4h 06m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 CLT → 19:34 IAD
    AA 1450 · American · 1h 30m · 53% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip7h 57mSTT 11:43 to IAD 19:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.