tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Austin via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 06:32 PHX
    AA 2434 · American · 3h 32m · 87% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:44 PHX → 13:12 AUS
    AA 1394 · American · 2h 28m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 12mORD 05:00 to AUS 13:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.