tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 06:32 PHX
    AA 2434 · American · 3h 32m · 87% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:37 PHX → 08:59 SNA
    AA 2660 · American · 1h 22m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 59mORD 05:00 to SNA 08:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.