tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Jose via Phoenix: arrives on time 91%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 06:32 PHX
    AA 2434 · American · 3h 32m · 87% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 PHX → 11:35 SJC
    WN 3336 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 35mORD 05:00 to SJC 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.