tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 17:24 RSW → 19:54 ORD
    AA 2437 · American · 3h 30m · 33% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ORD → 23:59 BWI
    AA 3866 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 59m · 59% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 35mRSW 17:24 to BWI 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.