tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Pittsburgh via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:24 RSW → 19:54 ORD
    AA 2437 · American · 3h 30m · 33% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 ORD → 23:52 PIT
    AA 4539 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 79% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 30mRSW 17:24 to PIT 23:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.