tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 14:25 RSW → 16:26 DFW
    AA 2438 · American · 3h 01m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 DFW → 21:31 DCA
    AA 472 · American · 3h 16m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 06mRSW 14:25 to DCA 21:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.