tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 21%

  1. 17:28 FLL → 19:59 ORD
    AA 2440 · American · 3h 43m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:32 ORD → 00:38 BUF +1 day
    AA 403 · American · 1h 40m · 41% on time, 9.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (9.2% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip6h 44mFLL 17:28 to BUF 00:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.