tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Richmond via Chicago: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:28 FLL → 19:59 ORD
    AA 2440 · American · 3h 43m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:22 ORD → 00:39 RIC +1 day
    AA 4698 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 17m · 50% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 11mFLL 17:28 to RIC 00:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.