tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 39%

  1. 19:41 RSW → 21:45 CLT
    AA 2442 · American · 2h 04m · 74% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:01 ORD +1 day
    AA 3014 · American · 2h 22m · 65% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 20mRSW 19:41 to ORD 00:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.