tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:22 RSW → 20:24 DFW
    AA 2446 · American · 3h 02m · 55% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:12 DFW → 00:50 ORD +1 day
    AA 1193 · American · 2h 38m · 55% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 28mRSW 18:22 to ORD 00:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.