tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 17%

  1. 18:22 RSW → 20:24 DFW
    AA 2446 · American · 3h 02m · 55% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 DFW → 23:28 BNA
    AA 2750 · American · 1h 58m · 34% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip6h 06mRSW 18:22 to BNA 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.