tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 23%

  1. 18:22 RSW → 20:24 DFW
    AA 2446 · American · 3h 02m · 55% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 DFW → 23:57 MSP
    AA 3149 · American · 2h 27m · 44% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip6h 35mRSW 18:22 to MSP 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.