tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 12:44 CHS → 14:18 ORD
    AA 2452 · American · 2h 34m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:07 ORD → 16:40 STL
    AA 4537 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 33m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Charleston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 56mCHS 12:44 to STL 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.