tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:55 SAN → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2456 · American · 3h 20m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 DFW → 21:12 TUL
    AA 1514 · American · 1h 08m · 60% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 17mSAN 13:55 to TUL 21:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.