tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:55 SAN → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2456 · American · 3h 20m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:13 DFW → 22:26 SEA
    AA 2003 · American · 4h 13m · 55% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip8h 31mSAN 13:55 to SEA 22:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.