tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Missoula via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:55 SAN → 19:15 DFW
    AA 2456 · American · 3h 20m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:06 DFW → 22:40 MSO
    AA 4063 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 34m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 45mSAN 13:55 to MSO 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.