tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 31%

  1. 12:18 VPS → 14:35 DFW
    AA 2460 · American · 2h 17m · 68% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 DFW → 18:16 ORD
    AA 2740 · American · 2h 46m · 50% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 58mVPS 12:18 to ORD 18:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.